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Money

The www.FedPrimeRate.com Personal Finance Blog and Magazine

Tuesday, June 09, 2026

Existing Home Sales During MAY 2026

Existing Home Sales report for May, 2026 was released by The National Association of REALTORS® (NAR®) this morning:

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Previous Month: 4,040,000

  • Actual: 4,170,000
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  •  Change from Previous Month+3.22% (+10,000 homes)

  •  Year-on-Year (Y-o-Y)+3.22% (+130,000 homes)
======================

  • Inventory: 1,550,000 homes.
(4.5 months supply | +10,000 [+0.65%] homes Y-o-Y.)

======================

The yellow-highlighted, "actual" figure above represents the preliminary, seasonally adjusted annualized sales count of existing homes, co-ops and condominiums for the indicated month. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

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  • Median Price: $429,300

  • Price Change from A Year Ago: +1.32% (+$5,600)

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From Today's Report:

"...'More Americans are on the move, with home sales rising to the highest level since December. This is great news for the housing market and the economy,' said NAR Chief Economist Dr. Lawrence Yun. 'Improving affordability is helping drive this momentum. Even with mortgage rates ticking up compared to earlier in the year, they remain lower than a year ago and are essentially at the long-term historical average. Income gains are also outpacing home price growth by a small margin in most parts of the country.'

'The new record-high May home price reflects solid fundamentals for homeowners and ongoing supply constraints,' Yun said. 'Only 1% of all home sales involved a foreclosure or an underwater situation in which the sale price could not cover the outstanding
mortgage balance. This shows that homeowners are on solid financial footing.'

'Increased home sales mean more economic activity -- lawn care, furniture purchases, moving services, mortgage originations and other related business activities all get a boost,' Yun added...
"

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CHART: 15- & 30-Year Mortgage Rates History, USA
CHART: 15- & 30-Year
Mortgage Rates History, USA
 
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Consumer Sentiment: FINAL Results for MAY 2026

The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) - FINAL Results for May, 2026 was released today:

Predicted: 45.0
  • Actual: 44.8
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  • Change from Previous Month: -10.04% (-5.0 points)

  • Change from 12-Months Previous: -14.18% (-7.4 points)

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  • Final ICS Reading for April 2026: 49.8

  • Final ICS Reading for May 2025: 52.2

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From Today's Report:

"...Consumer sentiment fell for the third straight month as supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz continue to boost gasoline prices. Sentiment is now just below the previous historical trough seen in June 2022. The cost of living continues to be a first-order concern, with 57% of consumers spontaneously mentioning that high prices were eroding their personal finances, up from 50% last month.

Lower-income consumers and those without college degrees posted particularly strong sentiment declines; these groups are more sensitive to increases in the cost of gas and other essentials. 
Independents and Republicans saw decreases in sentiment, with both groups reaching their lowest readings of the current presidential administration.

Meanwhile, sentiment of Democrats was little changed from last month. Critically, consumers appear worried that inflation will increase and proliferate beyond fuel prices, even in the long run.

Year-ahead inflation expectations inched up from 4.7% last month to 4.8% this month. The current reading substantially exceeds the 3.4% reading seen in February 2026 prior to the start of the Iran invasion, along with all 2024 readings.

Long-run inflation expectations climbed from 3.5% in April to 3.9% in May, notably higher than the 2.8% to 3.2% range seen in 2024. This month’s increase in long-run expectations reflects sizable jumps among independents and Republicans. For the latter group, long-run inflation expectations are currently more than double their February 2025 reading on a monthly basis..."
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CHART: Short-Run Expectations Worsened Since February 2026, Long-Run Expectations Following Suit
CHART: Short-Run Expectations Worsened Since
February 2026, Long-Run Expectations Following Suit
 
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The ICS is derived from the following five survey questions:

  1. "We are interested in how people are getting along financially these days. Would you say that you (and your family living there) are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago?"

  2. "Now looking ahead, do you think that a year from now you (and your family living there) will be better off financially, or worse off, or just about the same as now?"

  3. "Now turning to business conditions in the country as a whole, do you think that during the next twelve months we'll have good times financially, or bad times, or what?"

  4. "Looking ahead, which would you say is more likely: that in the country as a whole we'll have continuous good times during the next five years or so, or that we will have periods of widespread unemployment or depression, or what?"

  5. "About the big things people buy for their homes, such as furniture, a refrigerator, stove, television, and things like that. Generally speaking, do you think now is a good or bad time for people to buy major household items?"
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The ICS uses a 1966 baseline, i.e. for 1966, the ICS = 100. So any number that is below the 1966 baseline of 100 means that the folks who were polled recently aren't as optimistic about the U.S. economy as those polled back in 1966.

The ICS is similar to the Consumer Confidence Index in that they both measure consumer attitudes and offer valuable insight into consumer spending.

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The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

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Friday, May 29, 2026

New Home Sales During APRIL 2026

The April, 2026 New Home Sales report was released by the Commerce Department:

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Previous Month (unrevised): 663,000

  • Actual New Home Sales: 622,000

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  • Change from 1-Month Previous: -61,000 units (-6.18%)

  • Change from 1-Year Previous: -79,000 units (-11.27%)


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Median Price for a New Home
During APRIL,
 2026: $422,500

  • Change from One-Year Previous: +$8,900 (+2.15%)

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Average Price for a New Home
During APRIL
, 2026: $508,800

  • Change from One-Year Previous: -$5,500 (-1.07%)

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Inventory: 489,000 (-11,000 units / -2.20% Year-on-Year)

  • 9.4 months supply at current sales rate; seasonally‐adjusted estimate.

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CHART: Cost of A Newly Built Home - APRIL 2026 Update
CHART: Cost of A Newly Built Home

APRIL 2026 Update

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Compiled jointly by the U.S. Commerce Department and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, the yellow-highlighted figure above is the seasonally adjusted and annualized number of newly-built homes with committed buyers for the indicated month.

The New Home Sales report is watched by economists and investors because it offers insight into the state of the U.S. housing market, and also provides data that can be used to predict sales of large household furniture and appliances like refrigerators, air conditioners, microwave ovens, etc.

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Tuesday, May 12, 2026

Existing Home Sales During APRIL 2026

Existing Home Sales report for April, 2026 was released by The National Association of REALTORS® (NAR®) this morning:

======================

Previous Month: 4,010,000

  • Actual: 4,020,000
======================

  •  Change from Previous Month+0.25% (+10,000 homes)

  •  Year-on-Year (Y-o-Y)FLAT 
======================

  • Inventory: 1,470,000 homes.
(4.4 months supply | +20,000 [+1.38%] homes Y-o-Y.)

======================

The yellow-highlighted, "actual" figure above represents the preliminary, seasonally adjusted annualized sales count of existing homes, co-ops and condominiums for the indicated month. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

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  • Median Price: $417,700

  • Price Change from A Year Ago: +0.89% (+$3,700)

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From Today's Report:

"...'Despite mixed macroeconomic signals -- including a record-high stock market and historically low consumer confidence -- home sales were modestly boosted by the continued improvement in housing affordability,' said NAR Chief Economist Dr. Lawrence Yun. 'Mortgage rates are lower from a year ago, and average income growth is outpacing home price gains.'

Yun continued, 'Inventory still remains tight. Multiple offers, though not as intense as a few years ago, are still occurring. At the same time, days on market are lengthening on average, implying that consumers are taking their time before making decisions.'

'The increase in second-home purchases reflects stronger finances among higher-income households, as well as the post-COVID rise in remote work and hybrid job schedules.'
..."

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Tuesday, May 05, 2026

New Home Sales During MARCH 2026

The March, 2026 New Home Sales report was released by the Commerce Department:

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Previous Month (unrevised): 635,000

  • Actual New Home Sales: 682,000

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  • Change from 1-Month Previous: +47,000 units (+7.40%)

  • Change from 1-Year Previous: +22,000 units (+3.33%)


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Median Price for a New Home
During MARCH,
 2026: $387,400

  • Change from One-Year Previous: -$25,500 (-6.18%)

 ***************************

Average Price for a New Home
During MARCH
, 2026: $503,100

  • Change from One-Year Previous: -$6,100 (-1.2%)

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Inventory: 481,000 (-23,000 units / -4.56% Year-on-Year)

  • 8.5 months supply at current sales rate; seasonally‐adjusted estimate.

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CHART: Cost of A Newly Built Home MARCH 2026 Update
CHART: Cost of A Newly Built Home

MARCH 2026 Update

================================


================================

Compiled jointly by the U.S. Commerce Department and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, the yellow-highlighted figure above is the seasonally adjusted and annualized number of newly-built homes with committed buyers for the indicated month.

The New Home Sales report is watched by economists and investors because it offers insight into the state of the U.S. housing market, and also provides data that can be used to predict sales of large household furniture and appliances like refrigerators, air conditioners, microwave ovens, etc.

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Monday, May 04, 2026

Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) for APRIL 2026

Consumer Confidence Index® (CCI) for this month (April, 2026) was released by The Conference Board®:

================

Predicted: 90.0
  • Actual: 92.8

================

Previous Month (revised): 92.2

  • Change from Previous Month+0.65% (+0.6 point)
================

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

From Today's Report:

"...'Consumer confidence edged up in April but was overall little changed, despite material concern about rising gasoline prices as the war in the Middle East prompted a surge in Brent crude oil prices,' said Dana M Peterson, Chief Economist, The Conference Board.

'Consumer appraisals of current and expected business conditions declined moderately compared to last month. This was offset by modest improvements in consumers’ perceptions of the labor market, both current and expected, as well as income expectations, which were slightly more optimistic in April.'..."
================

Every month, The Conference Board sends a questionnaire to 5,000 U.S. households. Survey participants are polled about their feelings regarding the U.S. economy, current and future, and about their own fiscal circumstances. On average, 3,500 participants complete and return the 5-question survey.

  • The baseline "100" score for the CCI is associated with 1985 survey data.


When consumers feel good about the economy, they tend to do more spending, and vice versa.

Based in New York City, The Conference Board® is a private, not-for-profit organization with a mission to, "create and disseminate knowledge about management and the marketplace to help businesses strengthen their performance and better serve society."

The CCI is usually released on the last Tuesday of the month.

================  

CHART: Consumer Confidence Index® (CCI) APRIL 2026 Update
CHART: Consumer Confidence Index® (CCI)
APRIL 2026 Update
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Monday, April 27, 2026

My Uncle Got Sucked Into A "Home Depot" Phishing Scam

So, I am on WhatsApp, checking out some family conversations, when I receive a message from my uncle.  Message reads:

"The Home Depot 40th Anniversary.  Click to enter to participate in the survey.  Have a chance to win $ 8,000! BeneficialYear.TOP"

Right away, red flags go up.  Looks extremely suspicious, but I click the link anyway, because I want to see what the scam looks like, so that I can warn others.

Here's a capture of the URL, and the page it took me to:




www.FedPrimeRate.com: Phishing Scam 1

www.FedPrimeRate.com: Phishing Scam Image 1

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When I reloaded the page, I was taken to a totally different URL:



www.FedPrimeRate.com: Phishing Scam 2

www.FedPrimeRate.com: Phishing Scam Image 2

First of all, if this is a survey from The Home Depot, then why on Earth would I be redirected to 2 different URLs? And why would one of the domain names use a .CN top level name, meaning it's registered in China?

Moreover: all the navigation links don't work, and the same if you try to "up" or "down" vote in the comments section.

As I investigated further, I found that Firefox is aware, and warning folks:

www.FedPrimeRate.com: Mozilla FireFox Warning - Deceptive Site Ahead

www.FedPrimeRate.com:
Mozilla FireFox Warning
- Deceptive Site Ahead

=======

Please people: don't forward suspicious messages to friends and family without checking them out.  You could end up doing serious harm to people you care about.

>>>   CLICK HERE FOR MORE SAFETY WARNINGS   <<<


>>>   CLICK HERE for SCAM ALERT: HOW TO AVOID BANKING AND OTHER TRENDING SCAMS; KNOW THE RED FLAGS   <<<

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SCAMS!

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