Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) for AUGUST 2025

Consumer Confidence Index® (CCI) for this month (August, 2025) was released by The Conference Board® this morning:

================

Predicted: 95.0

• Actual: 97.4

================

Previous Month (revised): 98.7

• Change from Previous Month: -1.32% (-1.3 points)
  

================

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

From Today's Report:

"...'Consumer confidence dipped slightly in August but remained at a level similar to those of the past three months,' said Stephanie Guichard, Senior Economist, Global Indicators at The Conference Board. 'The present situation and the expectation components both weakened. Notably, consumers’ appraisal of current job availability declined for the eighth consecutive month, but stronger views of current business conditions mitigated the retreat in the Present Situation Index.

Meanwhile, pessimism about future job availability inched up and optimism about future income faded slightly. However, these were partly offset by stronger expectations for future business conditions.'..."

================

Every month, The Conference Board sends a questionnaire to 5,000 U.S. households. Survey participants are polled about their feelings regarding the U.S. economy, current and future, and about their own fiscal circumstances. On average, 3,500 participants complete and return the 5-question survey.

• The baseline "100" score for the CCI is associated with 1985 survey data.

When consumers feel good about the economy, they tend to do more spending, and vice versa.

Based in New York City, The Conference Board® is a private, not-for-profit organization with a mission to, "create and disseminate knowledge about management and the marketplace to help businesses strengthen their performance and better serve society."

The CCI is usually released on the last Tuesday of the month.

================  

CHART: Consumer Confidence Index (CCI)
AUGUST 2025 Update

========================================

• Click here to view the full Conference Board report.

========================================= 

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Consumer Sentiment: Preliminary Results for August 2025

The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) - Preliminary Results for August 2025 was released today:

Predicted: 60.0

• Actual: 58.6

=========

• Change from Previous Month: -5.02% (-3.1 points)
  
  

• Change from 12 Months Previous: -13.7% (-9.3 points)

=========

• Final ICS Reading for July 2025: 61.7
  
  
• Final ICS Reading for August 2024: 67.9

=========

From Today's Report:

"...Consumer sentiment fell back about 5% in August, declining for the first time in four months. This deterioration largely stems from rising worries about inflation. Buying conditions for durables plunged 14%, its lowest reading in a year, on the basis of high prices. Current personal finances declined modestly amid growing concerns about purchasing power.

In contrast, expected personal finances inched up a touch along with a slight firming in income expectations, which remain subdued. Overall, consumers are no longer bracing for the worst-case scenario for the economy feared in April when reciprocal tariffs were announced and then paused.

However, consumers continue to expect both inflation and unemployment to deteriorate in the future.

Year-ahead inflation expectations rose from 4.5% last month to 4.9% this month. This increase was seen across multiple demographic groups and all three political affiliations. Long-run  inflation expectations also lifted from 3.4% in July to 3.9% in August.

This month ended two consecutive months of receding inflation for short-run expectations and three straight months for long-run expectations. Still, both readings remain well below the highs seen briefly in April and May 2025..."

=========

CHART: Unemployment and Inflation Expectations Worsen
in August, Partially Offsetting Recent Improvements
AUGUST 2025 Preliminary UPDATE
 =========

The ICS is derived from the following five survey questions:

1. "We are interested in how people are getting along financially these days. Would you say that you (and your family living there) are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago?"
   
   
2. "Now looking ahead, do you think that a year from now you (and your family living there) will be better off financially, or worse off, or just about the same as now?"
   
   
3. "Now turning to business conditions in the country as a whole, do you think that during the next twelve months we'll have good times financially, or bad times, or what?"
   
   
4. "Looking ahead, which would you say is more likely: that in the country as a whole we'll have continuous good times during the next five years or so, or that we will have periods of widespread unemployment or depression, or what?"
   
   
5. "About the big things people buy for their homes, such as furniture, a refrigerator, stove, television, and things like that. Generally speaking, do you think now is a good or bad time for people to buy major household items?"
   

=========

• Click here for more on how the ICS is calculated.

=========

The ICS uses a 1966 baseline, i.e. for 1966, the ICS = 100. So any number that is below the 1966 baseline of 100 means that the folks who were polled recently aren't as optimistic about the U.S. economy as those polled back in 1966.

The ICS is similar to the Consumer Confidence Index in that they both measure consumer attitudes and offer valuable insight into consumer spending.

=========

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

=========

• Click here to view the full University of Michigan report.

========= 

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Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) for JULY 2025

Consumer Confidence Index® (CCI) for this month (July, 2025) was released by The Conference Board® this morning:

================

Predicted: 95.0

• Actual: 97.2

================

Previous Month (revised): 95.2

• Change from Previous Month: -2.10% (-2.0 points)
  

================

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

From Today's Report:

"...'Consumer confidence has stabilized since May, rebounding from April’s plunge, but remains below last year’s heady levels,' said Stephanie Guichard, Senior Economist, Global Indicators at The Conference Board. 'In July, pessimism about the future receded somewhat, leading to a slight improvement in overall confidence.

All three components of the Expectation Index improved, with consumers feeling less pessimistic about future business conditions and employment, and more optimistic about future income.

Meanwhile, consumers’ assessment of the present situation was little changed. They were a tad more positive about current business conditions in July than in June. However, their appraisal of current job availability weakened for the seventh consecutive month, reaching its lowest level since March 2021. Notably, 18.9% of consumers indicated that jobs were hard to get in July, up from 14.5% in January.'..."

================

Every month, The Conference Board sends a questionnaire to 5,000 U.S. households. Survey participants are polled about their feelings regarding the U.S. economy, current and future, and about their own fiscal circumstances. On average, 3,500 participants complete and return the 5-question survey.

• The baseline "100" score for the CCI is associated with 1985 survey data.

When consumers feel good about the economy, they tend to do more spending, and vice versa.

Based in New York City, The Conference Board® is a private, not-for-profit organization with a mission to, "create and disseminate knowledge about management and the marketplace to help businesses strengthen their performance and better serve society."

The CCI is usually released on the last Tuesday of the month.

================  

CHART: Consumer Confidence Index (CCI)
JULY 2025 Update

========================================

• Click here to view the full Conference Board report.

=========================================

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Consumer Sentiment: FINAL Results for June 2025

The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) - FINAL Results for June 2025 was released today:

Predicted: 60.5

• Actual: 60.7

=========

• Change from Previous Month: +16.28% (+8.5 points)
  
  

• Change from 12 Months Previous: -11.00% (-7.5 points)

=========

• Final ICS Reading for May 2025: 52.2
  
  
• Final ICS Reading for June 2024: 68.2

=========

From Today's Report:

"...Consumer sentiment surged 16% from May in its first increase in six months -- confirming the mid-month reading -- but remains well below the post-election bounce seen in December 2024.

The improvement was broad-based across numerous facets of the economy, with expectations for personal finances and business conditions climbing about 20% or more.

Despite June’s gains, however, sentiment remains about 18% below December 2024, right after the election; consumer views are still broadly consistent with an economic slowdown and an increase in inflation to come.

Consumers continue to be concerned about the potential impact of tariffs, but at this time they do not appear to be connecting developments in the Middle East with the economy.

Year-ahead inflation expectations plummeted from 6.6% last month to 5.0% this month. Long-run inflation expectations receded for the second straight month, falling back from 4.2% in May to 4.0% in June. Both readings are the lowest in three to four months. Consumers’ fears about the potential impact of tariffs on future inflation softened somewhat in June.

Still, inflation expectations remain above readings seen throughout the second half of 2024, reflecting widespread beliefs that risks to inflation have not fully abated..."

=========

CHART: Sentiment Lifts for the First Time in Six Months;
Remains Well Below December 2024
JUNE 2025 UPDATE
 =========

The ICS is derived from the following five survey questions:

1. "We are interested in how people are getting along financially these days. Would you say that you (and your family living there) are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago?"
   
   
2. "Now looking ahead, do you think that a year from now you (and your family living there) will be better off financially, or worse off, or just about the same as now?"
   
   
3. "Now turning to business conditions in the country as a whole, do you think that during the next twelve months we'll have good times financially, or bad times, or what?"
   
   
4. "Looking ahead, which would you say is more likely: that in the country as a whole we'll have continuous good times during the next five years or so, or that we will have periods of widespread unemployment or depression, or what?"
   
   
5. "About the big things people buy for their homes, such as furniture, a refrigerator, stove, television, and things like that. Generally speaking, do you think now is a good or bad time for people to buy major household items?"
   

=========

• Click here for more on how the ICS is calculated.

=========

The ICS uses a 1966 baseline, i.e. for 1966, the ICS = 100. So any number that is below the 1966 baseline of 100 means that the folks who were polled recently aren't as optimistic about the U.S. economy as those polled back in 1966.

The ICS is similar to the Consumer Confidence Index in that they both measure consumer attitudes and offer valuable insight into consumer spending.

=========

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

=========

• Click here to view the full University of Michigan report.

========= 

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Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) for JUNE 2025

Consumer Confidence Index® (CCI) for this month (June, 2025) was released by The Conference Board® this morning:

================

Predicted: 95.0

• Actual: 93.0

================

Previous Month (revised): 98.4

• Change from Previous Month: -5.49% (-5.4 points)
  

================

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

From Today's Report:

"...'Consumer confidence weakened in June, erasing almost half of May’s sharp gains,' said Stephanie Guichard, Senior Economist, Global Indicators at The Conference Board. 'The decline was broad-based across components, with consumers’ assessments of the present situation and their expectations for the future both contributing to the deterioration. Consumers were less positive about current business conditions than May. 

Their appraisal of current job availability weakened for the sixth consecutive month but remained in positive territory, in line with the still-solid labor market. The three components of the Expectations Index -- business conditions, employment prospects, and future income -- all weakened. Consumers were more pessimistic about business conditions and job availability over the next six months, and optimism about future income prospects eroded slightly.'..."

================

Every month, The Conference Board sends a questionnaire to 5,000 U.S. households. Survey participants are polled about their feelings regarding the U.S. economy, current and future, and about their own fiscal circumstances. On average, 3,500 participants complete and return the 5-question survey.

• The baseline "100" score for the CCI is associated with 1985 survey data.

When consumers feel good about the economy, they tend to do more spending, and vice versa.

Based in New York City, The Conference Board® is a private, not-for-profit organization with a mission to, "create and disseminate knowledge about management and the marketplace to help businesses strengthen their performance and better serve society."

The CCI is usually released on the last Tuesday of the month.

================  

CHART: Consumer Confidence Index (CCI)
JUNE 2025 Update

========================================

• Click here to view the full Conference Board report.

=========================================

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Consumer Sentiment: Preliminary Results for June 2025

The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) - Preliminary Results for June 2025 was released today:

Predicted: 53.0

• Actual: 60.5

=========

• Change from Previous Month: +15.90% (+8.3 points)
  
  

• Change from 12 Months Previous: -11.29% (-7.7 points)

=========

• Final ICS Reading for May 2025: 52.2
  
  
• Final ICS Reading for June 2024: 68.2

=========

From Today's Report:

"...Consumer sentiment improved for the first time in six months, climbing 16% from last month but remaining about 20% below December 2024, when sentiment had exhibited a post-election bump. These trends were unanimous across the distributions of age, income, wealth, political party, and geographic region.

Moreover, all five index components rose, with a particularly steep increase for short and long-run expected business conditions, consistent with a perceived easing of pressures from tariffs.

Consumers appear to have settled somewhat from the shock of the extremely high tariffs announced in April and the policy volatility seen in the weeks that followed.

However, consumers still perceive wide-ranging downside risks to the economy. Their views of business conditions, personal finances, buying conditions for big ticket items, labor markets, and stock markets all remain well below six months ago in December 2024. Despite this month’s notable improvement, consumers remain guarded and concerned about the trajectory of the economy.

Year-ahead inflation expectations plunged from 6.6% last month to 5.1% this month. Long-run inflation expectations fell for the second straight month, stepping down from 4.2% in May to 4.1% in June. Both readings are the lowest in three months.

Consumers’ fears about the potential impact of tariffs on future inflation  have softened somewhat in June. Still, inflation expectations remain above readings seen throughout the second half of 2024, reflecting widespread beliefs that trade policy may still contribute to an increase in inflation in the year ahead..."

=========

CHART: Sentiment Lifts for the First Time Since December 2024 
Amid Softening Tariff Worries; Consumers Remain Guarded.
JUNE 2025 UPDATE
 =========

The ICS is derived from the following five survey questions:

1. "We are interested in how people are getting along financially these days. Would you say that you (and your family living there) are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago?"
   
   
2. "Now looking ahead, do you think that a year from now you (and your family living there) will be better off financially, or worse off, or just about the same as now?"
   
   
3. "Now turning to business conditions in the country as a whole, do you think that during the next twelve months we'll have good times financially, or bad times, or what?"
   
   
4. "Looking ahead, which would you say is more likely: that in the country as a whole we'll have continuous good times during the next five years or so, or that we will have periods of widespread unemployment or depression, or what?"
   
   
5. "About the big things people buy for their homes, such as furniture, a refrigerator, stove, television, and things like that. Generally speaking, do you think now is a good or bad time for people to buy major household items?"
   

=========

• Click here for more on how the ICS is calculated.

=========

The ICS uses a 1966 baseline, i.e. for 1966, the ICS = 100. So any number that is below the 1966 baseline of 100 means that the folks who were polled recently aren't as optimistic about the U.S. economy as those polled back in 1966.

The ICS is similar to the Consumer Confidence Index in that they both measure consumer attitudes and offer valuable insight into consumer spending.

=========

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

=========

• Click here to view the full University of Michigan report.

========= 

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Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) for May 2025

Consumer Confidence Index® (CCI) for this month (May, 2025) was released by The Conference Board® this morning:

================

Predicted: 88.0

• Actual: 98.0

================

Previous Month (revised): 85.7

• Change from Previous Month: 14.35% (+12.3 points)
  

================

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

From Today's Report:

"...'Consumer confidence improved in May after five consecutive months of decline,' said Stephanie Guichard, Senior Economist, Global Indicators at The Conference Board. 'The rebound was already visible before the May 12 US-China trade deal but gained momentum afterwards. The monthly improvement was largely driven by consumer expectations as all three components of the Expectations Index -- business conditions, employment prospects, and future income -- rose from their April lows. Consumers were less pessimistic about business conditions and job availability over the next six months and regained optimism about future income prospects. Consumers’ assessments of the present situation also improved. However, while consumers were more positive about current business conditions than last month, their appraisal of current job availability weakened for the fifth consecutive month.'

Guichard added: 'With the stock market continuing to recover in May, consumers’ outlook on stock prices improved, with 44% expecting stock prices to increase over the next 12 months (up from 37.6% in April) and 37.7% expecting stock prices to decline (down from 47.2% in April). This was one of the survey questions with the strongest improvement after the May 12 trade deal.'..."

================

Every month, The Conference Board sends a questionnaire to 5,000 U.S. households. Survey participants are polled about their feelings regarding the U.S. economy, current and future, and about their own fiscal circumstances. On average, 3,500 participants complete and return the 5-question survey.

• The baseline "100" score for the CCI is associated with 1985 survey data.

When consumers feel good about the economy, they tend to do more spending, and vice versa.

Based in New York City, The Conference Board® is a private, not-for-profit organization with a mission to, "create and disseminate knowledge about management and the marketplace to help businesses strengthen their performance and better serve society."

The CCI is usually released on the last Tuesday of the month.

================  

CHART: Consumer Confidence Index (CCI)
MAY 2025 Update

========================================

• Click here to view the full Conference Board report.

=========================================

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3 Myths About Inflation Most People Still Believe

Think inflation doesn’t affect you? Think again.

Whether you're grabbing coffee, paying rent, or saving for your next trip, inflation quietly shapes your everyday decisions -- and your future.

The problem? A lot of what we think we know about inflation is just plain wrong. And believing these myths can cost you more than a few extra bucks a month.

In this article, we’ll bust three of the most common inflation myths still floating around in 2025. You’ll get clear, simple truths and practical tips to help you make smarter financial moves—even if you’re just starting out.

Let’s set the record straight.

Myth #1: Inflation Means Prices Are Out of Control

Many people hear “inflation” and instantly think of skyrocketing prices and economic chaos. But the truth is, moderate inflation—typically around 2–3% annually—is both normal and expected in a healthy economy.

Prices do rise over time, but that doesn’t mean they’re out of control. In fact, controlled inflation encourages spending and investment, which fuels growth.

Example: If your morning coffee goes from $2.00 to $2.05 in a year, that’s inflation—not a crisis.

Bottom line: Inflation becomes a problem only when it’s too high or unpredictable. Most of the time, it’s simply part of the economic cycle.

Real-World Example: The Role of Tariffs
A clear example of price increases not caused by general inflation is when governments impose tariffs. For instance, the Trump-era tariffs on Chinese imports—and the potential new tariffs in 2025—directly raise prices on goods like electronics, clothing, and furniture.
These aren't signs of runaway inflation, but policy-driven price hikes. Understanding the difference can help you make more informed financial decisions.

Myth #2: Wages Always Keep Up With Inflation

It’s a common belief that as prices rise, so do wages—but that’s not always the case. In reality, wages often lag behind inflation, meaning your money loses purchasing power over time.

This is especially true during periods of high inflation when salaries stay the same but living costs rise. The result? You can afford less even if you’re earning the same amount.

Tip: Focus on boosting your income through raises, side hustles, or skill upgrades to stay ahead of rising costs.

Remember: Understanding the gap between nominal and real wages is key to protecting your financial well-being.

Myth #3: Inflation Only Hurts Consumers

While rising prices directly impact consumers, they’re not the only ones affected. Inflation also impacts savers, investors, and businesses in different ways.

For example, money sitting in a savings account loses value over time if the interest rate is lower than inflation. On the other hand, some businesses may raise prices and maintain profits, while others struggle with higher costs.

Tip: Protect yourself by investing in assets that historically outpace inflation—like index funds, real estate, or commodities.

Truth is: Inflation reshapes the entire economy—not just your grocery bill.

How to Stay Ahead of Inflation in 2025

Inflation may be unavoidable, but you can still protect your finances with smart habits. Here’s how to stay ahead in 2025:

• Budget with inflation in mind — adjust spending plans based on rising costs.

• Grow your income — negotiate raises or explore side hustles.

• Invest wisely — put money into assets that outpace inflation, like index funds or real estate.

• Avoid holding too much cash — uninvested savings lose value over time.

• Stay informed — track inflation trends using tools like CPI reports or trusted financial news.

Small steps today can make a big difference in your future purchasing power.

Conclusion

Understanding inflation is key to making smarter financial choices. By debunking these common inflation myths, you’ll be better prepared to manage your money, protect your savings, and invest with confidence in 2025 and beyond.

Don’t let misinformation hold you back—stay informed, think long-term, and take control of your financial future.

Written by Alex Carter, founder of Invicome, a blog focused on financial freedom and passive income for young adults. He shares practical tips on making money online, investing, and building long-term wealth.

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Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) for April 2025

Consumer Confidence Index® (CCI) for this month (April, 2025) was released by The Conference Board® this morning:

================

Predicted: 88.0

• Actual: 86.0

================

Previous Month (revised): 93.9

• Change from Previous Month: 8.41% (-7.9 points)
  

================

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

From Today's Report:

"...'Consumer confidence declined for a fifth consecutive month in April, falling to levels not seen since the onset of the COVID pandemic,' said
Stephanie Guichard, Senior Economist, Global Indicators at The Conference Board. 'The decline was largely driven by consumers’ expectations.

The three expectation components -- business conditions, employment prospects, and future income -- all deteriorated sharply, reflecting pervasive pessimism about the future. Notably, the share of consumers expecting fewer jobs in the next six months (32.1%) was nearly as high as in April 2009, in the middle of the Great Recession.

In addition, expectations about future income prospects turned clearly negative for the first time in five years, suggesting that concerns about the economy have now spread to consumers worrying about their own personal situations. However, consumers’ views of the present have held up, containing the overall decline in the Index.'..."

================

Every month, The Conference Board sends a questionnaire to 5,000 U.S. households. Survey participants are polled about their feelings regarding the U.S. economy, current and future, and about their own fiscal circumstances. On average, 3,500 participants complete and return the 5-question survey.

• The baseline "100" score for the CCI is associated with 1985 survey data.

When consumers feel good about the economy, they tend to do more spending, and vice versa.

Based in New York City, The Conference Board® is a private, not-for-profit organization with a mission to, "create and disseminate knowledge about management and the marketplace to help businesses strengthen their performance and better serve society."

The CCI is usually released on the last Tuesday of the month.

================  

CHART: Consumer Confidence Index (CCI)
APRIL 2025 Update

========================================

• Click here to view the full Conference Board report.

=========================================

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Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) for December 2024

Consumer Confidence Index® (CCI) for this month (December, 2024) was released by The Conference Board® this morning:

================

Predicted: 112.0

• Actual: 104.7

================

Previous Month (revised): 112.8

• Change from Previous Month: -7.18% (-8.1 points)
  

================

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

From Today's Report:

"...'The recent rebound in consumer confidence was not sustained in December as the Index dropped back to the middle of the range that has prevailed over the past two years,' said Dana M. Peterson, Chief Economist at The Conference Board. 'While weaker consumer assessments of the present situation and expectations contributed to the decline, the expectations component saw the sharpest drop.

Consumer views of current labor market conditions continued to improve, consistent with recent jobs and unemployment data, but their assessment of business conditions weakened. Compared to last month, consumers in December were substantially less optimistic about future business conditions and incomes. Moreover, pessimism about future employment prospects returned after cautious optimism prevailed in October and November.'

Peterson added: 'Consumers became a bit less bullish about the stock market in December: 52.9% expected stock prices to increase over the year ahead, down from a record high of 57.2% in November. Also, 25% of consumers expected stock prices to decline, up from 21.7%. The share of consumers expecting higher interest rates over the next 12 months ticked up to 48.5% but remained near recent lows. The share expecting lower rates eased to 29.3% -- down from recent months but still quite high.'..."

================

Every month, The Conference Board sends a questionnaire to 5,000 U.S. households. Survey participants are polled about their feelings regarding the U.S. economy, current and future, and about their own fiscal circumstances. On average, 3,500 participants complete and return the 5-question survey.

• The baseline "100" score for the CCI is associated with 1985 survey data.

When consumers feel good about the economy, they tend to do more spending, and vice versa.

Based in New York City, The Conference Board is a private, not-for-profit organization with a mission to, "create and disseminate knowledge about management and the marketplace to help businesses strengthen their performance and better serve society."

The CCI is usually released on the last Tuesday of the month.

================  

CHART: Consumer Confidence Index (CCI)
DECEMBER 2024 Update

========================================

• Click here to view the full Conference Board report.

=========================================

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Federal Reserve Report On The Financial Well-Being of American Households for 2015

A report on the decision-making and financial well-being of American households during 2015, from the Federal Reserve:

Click here for the transcript (PDF).

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