Consumer Sentiment: FINAL Results for June 2025

The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) - FINAL Results for June 2025 was released today:

Predicted: 60.5

• Actual: 60.7

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• Change from Previous Month: +16.28% (+8.5 points)
  
  

• Change from 12 Months Previous: -11.00% (-7.5 points)

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• Final ICS Reading for May 2025: 52.2
  
  
• Final ICS Reading for June 2024: 68.2

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From Today's Report:

"...Consumer sentiment surged 16% from May in its first increase in six months -- confirming the mid-month reading -- but remains well below the post-election bounce seen in December 2024.

The improvement was broad-based across numerous facets of the economy, with expectations for personal finances and business conditions climbing about 20% or more.

Despite June’s gains, however, sentiment remains about 18% below December 2024, right after the election; consumer views are still broadly consistent with an economic slowdown and an increase in inflation to come.

Consumers continue to be concerned about the potential impact of tariffs, but at this time they do not appear to be connecting developments in the Middle East with the economy.

Year-ahead inflation expectations plummeted from 6.6% last month to 5.0% this month. Long-run inflation expectations receded for the second straight month, falling back from 4.2% in May to 4.0% in June. Both readings are the lowest in three to four months. Consumers’ fears about the potential impact of tariffs on future inflation softened somewhat in June.

Still, inflation expectations remain above readings seen throughout the second half of 2024, reflecting widespread beliefs that risks to inflation have not fully abated..."

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CHART: Sentiment Lifts for the First Time in Six Months;
Remains Well Below December 2024
JUNE 2025 UPDATE
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The ICS is derived from the following five survey questions:

1. "We are interested in how people are getting along financially these days. Would you say that you (and your family living there) are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago?"
   
   
2. "Now looking ahead, do you think that a year from now you (and your family living there) will be better off financially, or worse off, or just about the same as now?"
   
   
3. "Now turning to business conditions in the country as a whole, do you think that during the next twelve months we'll have good times financially, or bad times, or what?"
   
   
4. "Looking ahead, which would you say is more likely: that in the country as a whole we'll have continuous good times during the next five years or so, or that we will have periods of widespread unemployment or depression, or what?"
   
   
5. "About the big things people buy for their homes, such as furniture, a refrigerator, stove, television, and things like that. Generally speaking, do you think now is a good or bad time for people to buy major household items?"
   

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• Click here for more on how the ICS is calculated.

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The ICS uses a 1966 baseline, i.e. for 1966, the ICS = 100. So any number that is below the 1966 baseline of 100 means that the folks who were polled recently aren't as optimistic about the U.S. economy as those polled back in 1966.

The ICS is similar to the Consumer Confidence Index in that they both measure consumer attitudes and offer valuable insight into consumer spending.

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The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

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• Click here to view the full University of Michigan report.

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3 Myths About Inflation Most People Still Believe

Think inflation doesn’t affect you? Think again.

Whether you're grabbing coffee, paying rent, or saving for your next trip, inflation quietly shapes your everyday decisions -- and your future.

The problem? A lot of what we think we know about inflation is just plain wrong. And believing these myths can cost you more than a few extra bucks a month.

In this article, we’ll bust three of the most common inflation myths still floating around in 2025. You’ll get clear, simple truths and practical tips to help you make smarter financial moves—even if you’re just starting out.

Let’s set the record straight.

Myth #1: Inflation Means Prices Are Out of Control

Many people hear “inflation” and instantly think of skyrocketing prices and economic chaos. But the truth is, moderate inflation—typically around 2–3% annually—is both normal and expected in a healthy economy.

Prices do rise over time, but that doesn’t mean they’re out of control. In fact, controlled inflation encourages spending and investment, which fuels growth.

Example: If your morning coffee goes from $2.00 to $2.05 in a year, that’s inflation—not a crisis.

Bottom line: Inflation becomes a problem only when it’s too high or unpredictable. Most of the time, it’s simply part of the economic cycle.

Real-World Example: The Role of Tariffs
A clear example of price increases not caused by general inflation is when governments impose tariffs. For instance, the Trump-era tariffs on Chinese imports—and the potential new tariffs in 2025—directly raise prices on goods like electronics, clothing, and furniture.
These aren't signs of runaway inflation, but policy-driven price hikes. Understanding the difference can help you make more informed financial decisions.

Myth #2: Wages Always Keep Up With Inflation

It’s a common belief that as prices rise, so do wages—but that’s not always the case. In reality, wages often lag behind inflation, meaning your money loses purchasing power over time.

This is especially true during periods of high inflation when salaries stay the same but living costs rise. The result? You can afford less even if you’re earning the same amount.

Tip: Focus on boosting your income through raises, side hustles, or skill upgrades to stay ahead of rising costs.

Remember: Understanding the gap between nominal and real wages is key to protecting your financial well-being.

Myth #3: Inflation Only Hurts Consumers

While rising prices directly impact consumers, they’re not the only ones affected. Inflation also impacts savers, investors, and businesses in different ways.

For example, money sitting in a savings account loses value over time if the interest rate is lower than inflation. On the other hand, some businesses may raise prices and maintain profits, while others struggle with higher costs.

Tip: Protect yourself by investing in assets that historically outpace inflation—like index funds, real estate, or commodities.

Truth is: Inflation reshapes the entire economy—not just your grocery bill.

How to Stay Ahead of Inflation in 2025

Inflation may be unavoidable, but you can still protect your finances with smart habits. Here’s how to stay ahead in 2025:

• Budget with inflation in mind — adjust spending plans based on rising costs.

• Grow your income — negotiate raises or explore side hustles.

• Invest wisely — put money into assets that outpace inflation, like index funds or real estate.

• Avoid holding too much cash — uninvested savings lose value over time.

• Stay informed — track inflation trends using tools like CPI reports or trusted financial news.

Small steps today can make a big difference in your future purchasing power.

Conclusion

Understanding inflation is key to making smarter financial choices. By debunking these common inflation myths, you’ll be better prepared to manage your money, protect your savings, and invest with confidence in 2025 and beyond.

Don’t let misinformation hold you back—stay informed, think long-term, and take control of your financial future.

Written by Alex Carter, founder of Invicome, a blog focused on financial freedom and passive income for young adults. He shares practical tips on making money online, investing, and building long-term wealth.

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