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Money

The www.FedPrimeRate.com Personal Finance Blog and Magazine

Thursday, January 29, 2026

NEW PHISHING SCAM: Facebook Has Temporarily Suspended Your Account (ACCEPT / IGNORE Button)

NEW SCAM: Facebook Has Temporarily Suspended Your Account (ACCEPT / IGNORE Button)

So this is a new Facebook (FB) phishing scam....For me anyway.

Was taking care of some business on FB, when this nasty message popped up in my face (👈 image.)

It says, "Facebook has temporarily suspended your account," and it shows you two (2) buttons: [ACCEPT] and a flashing red [IGNORE.]
👆

OK, so if are on FB and you see this popup message, DO NOT CLICK THAT FLASHING IGNORE BUTTON!

This is a common trick the scammer use: A fake button that makes you think that if you click it you will get rid of the popup.

But, of course, the opposite is true.

Instead of clicking the
[ACCEPT] or [IGNORE] buttons, close the window.

At this point the attack may have locked up your computer so that you can't close the message.

🚨 THIS IS WHAT YOU SHOULD DO 🚨

If that's the case, then shutdown your computer, and unplug it.  Unplug it even if it's a laptop.

Then wait at least 10 minutes before starting it up again.

Once you have rebooted, use your preferred virus scanner to scan your system, after you've check for the latest threat updates via the Internet.

I use Microsoft's built-in Defender Antivirus on my Windows 11 computers, and I check for the latest updates on a very regular basis (sometime multiple checks per day.)
 

CHART: Producer Price Index Final Demand (PPI-FD) 12-Month Percent Change - SEPTEMBER 2024 Update


OK, so if you accidentally click on that malicious [IGNORE] button, another popup will smack you in the face, and this time it will fill up your entire screen!

   💣> Do NOT Click ANYTHING in that WINDOW! <💣


EVERYTHING in that page is MALICIOUS and can do some very serious harm to your computer, or your finances, or your private data, etc.

So, again, if you can't close that window, scroll back 👆 up this page 👆 and follow the steps under the heading "THIS IS WHAT YOU SHOULD DO" and you should be OK. 💫

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Tuesday, January 27, 2026

Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) for JANUARY 2026

Consumer Confidence Index® (CCI) for this month (January, 2026) was released by The Conference Board®:

================

Predicted: 89.0
  • Actual: 84.5

================

Previous Month (revised): 94.2

  • Change from Previous Month-10.3% (-9.7 points)
================

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

From Today's Report:

"...'Confidence collapsed in January, as consumer concerns about both the present situation and expectations for the future deepened,' said Dana M Peterson, Chief Economist, The Conference Board. 'All five components of the Index deteriorated, driving the overall Index to its lowest level since May 2014 (82.2) -- surpassing its COVID-19 pandemic depths.'

Peterson added: “Consumers’ write-in responses on factors affecting the economy continued to skew towards pessimism. References to prices and inflation, oil and gas prices, and food and grocery prices remained elevated. Mentions of tariffs and trade, politics, and the labor market also rose in January, and references to health/insurance and war edged higher.'..
."
================

Every month, The Conference Board sends a questionnaire to 5,000 U.S. households. Survey participants are polled about their feelings regarding the U.S. economy, current and future, and about their own fiscal circumstances. On average, 3,500 participants complete and return the 5-question survey.

  • The baseline "100" score for the CCI is associated with 1985 survey data.


When consumers feel good about the economy, they tend to do more spending, and vice versa.

Based in New York City, The Conference Board® is a private, not-for-profit organization with a mission to, "create and disseminate knowledge about management and the marketplace to help businesses strengthen their performance and better serve society."

The CCI is usually released on the last Tuesday of the month.

================  

CHART: Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) - JANUARY 2026 Update
CHART: Consumer Confidence Index (CCI)
JANUARY 2026 Update
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Friday, January 23, 2026

Consumer Sentiment: FINAL Results for JANUARY 2026

The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) - FINAL Results for January, 2026 was released today:

Predicted: 53.0
  • Actual: 56.4
=========

  • Change from Previous Month: +6.62% (+3.5 points)

  • Change from 12-Months Previous: -21.34% (-15.3 points)

=========

  • Final ICS Reading for December 2025: 52.9

  • Final ICS Reading for January 2025: 71.7

=========

From Today's Report:

"...Consumer sentiment lifted about 3.5 index points this month, with minor gains seen across all index components. While the overall improvement was small, it was broad based, seen across the income distribution, educational attainment, older and younger consumers, and Republicans and Democrats alike.

However, national sentiment remains more than 20% below a year ago, as consumers continue to report pressures on their purchasing power stemming from high prices and the prospect of weakening labor markets.

Aside from tariff policy, consumers do not appear to be connecting foreign developments to their views of the economy. Note that interviews for this release concluded on January 19th, two days after Trump’s social media post announcing additional tariffs on eight countries in Europe.
.."
=========
CHART: Inflation Uncertainty Down from Q2, 2025 Peaks but Remains Substantially Elevated
CHART: Inflation Uncertainty Down from Q2, 2025
Peaks but Remains Substantially Elevated
 
=========

The ICS is derived from the following five survey questions:

  1. "We are interested in how people are getting along financially these days. Would you say that you (and your family living there) are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago?"

  2. "Now looking ahead, do you think that a year from now you (and your family living there) will be better off financially, or worse off, or just about the same as now?"

  3. "Now turning to business conditions in the country as a whole, do you think that during the next twelve months we'll have good times financially, or bad times, or what?"

  4. "Looking ahead, which would you say is more likely: that in the country as a whole we'll have continuous good times during the next five years or so, or that we will have periods of widespread unemployment or depression, or what?"

  5. "About the big things people buy for their homes, such as furniture, a refrigerator, stove, television, and things like that. Generally speaking, do you think now is a good or bad time for people to buy major household items?"
=========


=========

The ICS uses a 1966 baseline, i.e. for 1966, the ICS = 100. So any number that is below the 1966 baseline of 100 means that the folks who were polled recently aren't as optimistic about the U.S. economy as those polled back in 1966.

The ICS is similar to the Consumer Confidence Index in that they both measure consumer attitudes and offer valuable insight into consumer spending.

=========

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

=========
=========

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Thursday, January 15, 2026

Existing Home Sales During DECEMBER 2025

Existing Home Sales report for December, 2025 was released by The National Association of REALTORS® (NAR®) this morning:

======================

Previous Month: 4,140,000

  • Actual: 4,350,000
======================

  •  Change from Previous Month: +5.07% (+210,000 homes)

  •  Year-on-Year (Y-o-Y)+1.4% (+60,000 homes)
======================

  • Inventory: 1,180,000 homes.
(3.3 months supply | +40,000 [+3.51%] homes Y-o-Y.)

======================

The yellow-highlighted, "actual" figure above represents the preliminary, seasonally adjusted annualized sales count of existing homes, co-ops and condominiums for the indicated month. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

------------------------------------------------------

  • Median Price: $405,400

  • Price Change from A Year Ago: +0.42% (+$1,700)

------------------------------------------------------ 

==========

==========

From Today's Report:

"...'2025 was another tough year for homebuyers, marked by record-high home prices and historically low home sales,' said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. 'However, in the fourth quarter, conditions began improving, with lower mortgage rates and slower home price growth. December home sales, after adjusting for seasonal factors, were the strongest in nearly three years. The gains were broad-based, with all four major regions improving from the prior month.'

'Inventory levels remain tight,' Yun added. 'With fewer sellers feeling eager to move, homeowners are taking their time deciding when to list or delist their homes. Similar to past years, more inventory is expected to come to market beginning in February.'.
.."

==================

INFOGRAPHIC: Existing Home Sales DECEMBER 2025 UPDATE (Copyright © 2026 REALTORS®)
INFOGRAPHIC: Existing Home Sales
DECEMBER 2025 UPDATE
(Copyright © 2026 REALTORS®)
==================

==================

==================

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Wednesday, January 14, 2026

New Home Sales During OCTOBER 2025

The October, 2025 New Home Sales report was released by the Commerce Department this morning:

------------------------------------------------------

Previous Month (unrevised): 738,000

  • Actual New Home Sales: 737,000

------------------------------------------------------

  • Change from 1-Month Previous: -1,000 units (-0.14%)

  • Change from 1-Year Previous: +116,000 units (+18.68%)


------------------------------------------------------

Median Price for a New Home
During October
, 2025: $392,300

  • Change from One-Year Previous: -$34,000 (-7.98%)

 ***************************

Average Price for a New Home
During October
, 2025: $498,000

  • Change from One-Year Previous: -$23,900 (-4.58%)

------------------------------------------------------
Inventory: 488,000 (+8,000 units / +1.67% Year-on-Year)

  • 7.9 months supply at current sales rate; seasonally‐adjusted estimate.

------------------------------------------------------

================================

CHART: Cost of A Newly Built Home - OCTOBER 2025 Update
CHART: Cost of A Newly Built Home
OCTOBER 2025 Update

================================


================================

Compiled jointly by the U.S. Commerce Department and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, the yellow-highlighted figure above is the seasonally adjusted and annualized number of newly-built homes with committed buyers for the indicated month.

The New Home Sales report is watched by economists and investors because it offers insight into the state of the U.S. housing market, and also provides data that can be used to predict sales of large household furniture and appliances like refrigerators, air conditioners, microwave ovens, etc.

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Friday, January 09, 2026

Consumer Sentiment: PRELIMINARY Results for JANUARY 2026

The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) - PRELIMINARY Results for January, 2026 was released today:

Predicted: 52.0
  • Actual: 54.0
=========

  • Change from Previous Month: +2.08% (+1.1 points)

  • Change from 12-Months Previous: -24.69% (-17.7 points)

=========

  • Final ICS Reading for December, 2025: 52.9

  • Final ICS Reading for January, 2025: 71.7

=========

From Today's Report:

"...Consumer sentiment inched up for the second straight month and reached its highest reading since September 2025. Improvements in January were seen among lower-income consumers, while sentiment fell for those with higher incomes.

All told, while consumers perceived some modest improvement in the economy over the past two months, their sentiment remains nearly 25% below last January’s reading.

They continue to be focused primarily on kitchen table issues, like high prices and softening labor markets.

Although consumers’ worries about tariffs appear to be gradually receding, they remain guarded about the overall strength of business conditions and labor markets.

Note that more than 90% of interviews for this release were collected prior to the capture of Maduro in Venezuela.

Year-ahead inflation expectations held steady in January at 4.2%. This is the lowest reading since January 2025 but remains well above that month’s 3.3%.

Long-run inflation expectations ticked up slightly from 3.2% in December to 3.4% this month. In comparison, readings ranged between 2.8 and 3.2% in 2024, and were below 2.8% throughout 2019 and 2020..."

=========
CHART: Over The Past Year, College-Educated Consumers Report Higher Likelihood of Own Job  Loss than Less-Educated Counterparts - JANUARY 2026 UPDATE
CHART: Over The Past Year, College-Educated Consumers
Report Higher Likelihood of Own Job
 Loss than Less-Educated Counterparts
JANUARY 2026 UPDATE
 =========

The ICS is derived from the following five survey questions:

  1. "We are interested in how people are getting along financially these days. Would you say that you (and your family living there) are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago?"

  2. "Now looking ahead, do you think that a year from now you (and your family living there) will be better off financially, or worse off, or just about the same as now?"

  3. "Now turning to business conditions in the country as a whole, do you think that during the next twelve months we'll have good times financially, or bad times, or what?"

  4. "Looking ahead, which would you say is more likely: that in the country as a whole we'll have continuous good times during the next five years or so, or that we will have periods of widespread unemployment or depression, or what?"

  5. "About the big things people buy for their homes, such as furniture, a refrigerator, stove, television, and things like that. Generally speaking, do you think now is a good or bad time for people to buy major household items?"
=========


=========

The ICS uses a 1966 baseline, i.e. for 1966, the ICS = 100. So any number that is below the 1966 baseline of 100 means that the folks who were polled recently aren't as optimistic about the U.S. economy as those polled back in 1966.

The ICS is similar to the Consumer Confidence Index in that they both measure consumer attitudes and offer valuable insight into consumer spending.

=========

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

=========

=========

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