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Money

The www.FedPrimeRate.com Personal Finance Blog and Magazine

Wednesday, April 30, 2025

Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) for April 2025

Consumer Confidence Index® (CCI) for this month (April, 2025) was released by The Conference Board® this morning:

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Predicted: 88.0
  • Actual: 86.0

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Previous Month (revised): 93.9

  • Change from Previous Month: 8.41% (-7.9 points)
================

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

From Today's Report:

"...'Consumer confidence declined for a fifth consecutive month in April, falling to levels not seen since the onset of the COVID pandemic,' said
Stephanie Guichard, Senior Economist, Global Indicators at The Conference Board. 'The decline was largely driven by consumers’ expectations.

The three expectation components -- business conditions, employment prospects, and future income -- all deteriorated sharply, reflecting pervasive pessimism about the future. Notably, the share of consumers expecting fewer jobs in the next six months (32.1%) was nearly as high as in April 2009, in the middle of the Great Recession.

In addition, expectations about future income prospects turned clearly negative for the first time in five years, suggesting that concerns about the economy have now spread to consumers worrying about their own personal situations. However, consumers’ views of the present have held up, containing the overall decline in the Index.'..."
================

Every month, The Conference Board sends a questionnaire to 5,000 U.S. households. Survey participants are polled about their feelings regarding the U.S. economy, current and future, and about their own fiscal circumstances. On average, 3,500 participants complete and return the 5-question survey.

  • The baseline "100" score for the CCI is associated with 1985 survey data.


When consumers feel good about the economy, they tend to do more spending, and vice versa.

Based in New York City, The Conference Board
® is a private, not-for-profit organization with a mission to, "create and disseminate knowledge about management and the marketplace to help businesses strengthen their performance and better serve society."

The CCI is usually released on the last Tuesday of the month.

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CHART: Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) APRIL 2025 Update
CHART: Consumer Confidence Index (CCI)
APRIL 2025 Update


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Thursday, April 24, 2025

Existing Home Sales During March 2025

Existing Home Sales report for March 2025 was released by The National Association of REALTORS® (NAR®) this morning:

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Previous Month: 4,270,000

  • Actual: 4,020,000
======================

  •  Change from Previous Month: -5.85% (-25,000 homes)

  •  Change from A Year Ago: -2.43% (-10,000 homes)
======================

  • Inventory: 1,330,000 homes.
(4.0 months supply | +220,000 [+19.82%] Year-on-Year.)

======================

The yellow-highlighted, "actual" figure above represents the preliminary, seasonally adjusted annualized sales count of existing homes, co-ops and condominiums for the indicated month. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

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  • Median Price: $403,700

  • Price Change from A Year Ago: +2.75% (+$108,000)

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From Today's Report:

"...'Home buying and selling remained sluggish in March due to the affordability challenges associated with high mortgage rates,' said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. 'Residential housing mobility, currently at historical lows, signals the troublesome possibility of less economic mobility for society.'

'In a stark contrast to the stock and bond markets, household wealth in residential real estate continues to reach new heights,' Yun said. "With mortgage delinquencies at near-historical lows, the housing market is on solid footing. A small deceleration in home price gains, which was slightly below wage-growth increases in March, would be a welcome improvement for affordability. With real estate asset valuation at $52 trillion, according to the Federal Reserve Flow of Funds, each percentage point gain in home prices adds more than $500 billion to the household balance sheet.'.
.."

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INFOGRAPHIC: Existing Home Sales - MARCH 2025 UPDATE
INFOGRAPHIC: Existing Home Sales

MARCH 2025 UPDATE

(Copyright © 2025 REALTORS®)
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Wednesday, April 23, 2025

New Home Sales During March 2025

The March, 2025 New Home Sales report was released by the Commerce Department this morning:


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Previous Month (revised): 674,000

  • Actual New Home Sales: 724,000

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  • Change from 1 Month Previous: +50,000 units (+7.42%)

  • Change from 1 Year Previous: +41,000 units (+6.00%)


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Median Price for a New Home
During
March, 2025: $403,600
 

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Average Price for a New Home
During
March, 2025: $497,700

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Inventory: 503,000 (+37,000 units / 7.94% Year-on-Year)

  • 8.3 months supply at current sales rate; seasonally‐adjusted estimate.

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CHART: Cost of A Newly Built Home MARCH 2025 Update
CHART: Cost of A Newly Built Home
MARCH 2025 Update

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Compiled jointly by the U.S. Commerce Department and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, the yellow-highlighted figure above is the seasonally adjusted and annualized number of newly-built homes with committed buyers for the indicated month.

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

The New Home Sales report is watched by economists and investors because it offers insight into the state of the U.S. housing market, and also provides data that can be used to predict sales of large household furniture and appliances like refrigerators, air conditioners, microwave ovens, etc.


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Tuesday, March 25, 2025

New Home Sales During February 2025

The February, 2025 New Home Sales report was released by the Commerce Department this morning:


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Previous Month (revised): 734,000

  • Actual New Home Sales: 676,000

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  • Change from 1 Month Previous: +12,000 units (+1.81%)

  • Change from 1 Year Previous: +33,000 units (+5.13%)


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Median Price for a New Home
During 
February, 2025: $414,500
 

***************************

Average Price for a New Home
During
February, 2025: $487,100

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Inventory: 500,000 (+35,000 units / 7.53% Year-on-Year)

  • 8.9 months supply at current sales rate; seasonally‐adjusted estimate.

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CHART: Cost of A Newly Built Home - FEBRUARY 2025 Update

CHART: Cost of A Newly Built Home
FEBRUARY 2025 Update

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Compiled jointly by the U.S. Commerce Department and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, the yellow-highlighted figure above is the seasonally adjusted and annualized number of newly-built homes with committed buyers for the indicated month.

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

The New Home Sales report is watched by economists and investors because it offers insight into the state of the U.S. housing market, and also provides data that can be used to predict sales of large household furniture and appliances like refrigerators, air conditioners, microwave ovens, etc.


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Thursday, March 20, 2025

Existing Home Sales During February 2025

Existing Home Sales report for February 2025 was released by The National Association of Realtors® (NAR®) this morning:

======================

Previous Month: 4,090,000

  • Actual: 4,260,000
======================

  •  Change from Previous Month: +4.16% (+170,000 homes)

  •  Change from A Year Ago: -1.16% (-50,000 homes)
======================

  • Inventory: 1,240,000 homes.
(3.5 months supply | +180,000 [+16.98%] Year-on-Year.)

======================

The yellow-highlighted, "actual" figure above represents the preliminary, seasonally adjusted annualized sales count of existing homes, co-ops and condominiums for the indicated month. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

------------------------------------------------------

  • Median Price: $398,400

  • Price Change from A Year Ago: +3.8% (+$14,600)

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From Today's Report:

"...'Home buyers are slowly entering the market,' said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. 'Mortgage rates, have not changed much, but more inventory and choices are releasing pent-up housing demand."

'On a technical note, raw sales in February were down 5.2% from last year, which was a leap year with one extra day of business,' Yun added. 'However, after adjusting for this effect, combined with the winter seasonal factors, the momentum for home sales is flashing encouraging signs.'

'Each one percentage point gain in home price translates into an approximately $350 billion increase in housing equity for American property owners,' Yun said. "That means a gain of nearly $1.3 trillion in home value appreciation at a time when the current stock market is undergoing a correction. Moreover, the ongoing housing shortage, coupled with historically low mortgage default rates, implies a solid foundation for home values.'..
."

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INFOGRAPHIC: Existing Home Sales FEBRUARY 2025 UPDATE

INFOGRAPHIC: Existing Home Sales

FEBRUARY 2025 UPDATE

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Monday, January 27, 2025

New Home Sales During December 2024

The December, 2024 New Home Sales report was released by the Commerce Department this morning:

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Previous Month (revised): 674,000

  • Actual New Home Sales: 698,000

------------------------------------------------------

  • Change from 1 Month Previous: +24,000 units (+3.56%)

  • Change from 1 Year Previous: +44,000 units (+6.73%)


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Median Price for a New Home
During 
December, 2024: $427,000
 

***************************

Average Price for a New Home
During December,
2024: $513,600

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Inventory: 494,000 (+45,000 units / 10.02% Year-on-Year)

  • 8.5 months supply at current sales rate; seasonally‐adjusted estimate.

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================================

CHART: Cost of A Newly Built Home - DECEMBER 2024 Update
CHART: Cost of A Newly Built Home
DECEMBER 2024 Update

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Compiled jointly by the U.S. Commerce Department and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, the yellow-highlighted figure above is the seasonally adjusted and annualized number of newly-built homes with committed buyers for the indicated month.

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

The New Home Sales report is watched by economists and investors because it offers insight into the state of the U.S. housing market, and also provides data that can be used to predict sales of large household furniture and appliances like refrigerators, air conditioners, microwave ovens, etc.


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Friday, January 24, 2025

Existing Home Sales During December 2024

Existing Home Sales report for December 2024 was released by The National Association of Realtors® (NAR®) this morning:

======================

Previous Month: 4,150,000

  • Actual: 4,240,000
======================

  •  Change from Previous Month: +2.17% (+90,000 homes)

  •  Change from A Year Ago: +9.33% (+362,000 homes)
======================

  • Inventory: 1,150,000
(3.3 months supply | +16.16% Year-on-Year.)

======================

The yellow-highlighted, "actual" figure above represents the preliminary, seasonally adjusted annualized sales count of existing homes, co-ops and condominiums for the indicated month. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

------------------------------------------------------

  • Median Price: $404,400

  • Price Change from A Year Ago: +6.03% (+$23,000)

------------------------------------------------------ 

==========

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From Today's Report:

"...'Home sales in the final months of the year showed solid recovery despite elevated mortgage rates,' said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. 'Home sales during the winter are typically softer than the spring and summer, but momentum is rising with sales climbing year-over-year for three straight months. Consumers clearly understand the long-term benefits of homeownership. Job and wage gains, along with increased inventory, are positively impacting the market.'

'The median home price was elevated partly due to the upper-end market’s relative better performance,' Yun added. 'Sales rose by 35% from a year ago for homes priced above $1 million, while sales fell for homes priced under $250,000.'..
."

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INFOGRAPHIC: Existing Home Sales - DECEMBER 2024 UPDATE
INFOGRAPHIC: Existing Home Sales

DECEMBER 2024 UPDATE

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