Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) for DECEMBER 2025
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Predicted: 92.0
- Actual: 89.1
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Previous Month (revised): 92.9
- Change from Previous Month: -4.09% (-3.8 points)
The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.
From Today's Report:
"...'Despite an upward revision in November related to the end of the shutdown, consumer confidence fell again in December and remained well below this year’s January peak. Four of five components of the overall index fell, while one was at a level signaling notable weakness,' said Dana M Peterson, Chief Economist, The Conference Board.================
The Present Situation Index declined as net views on current business conditions were negative for the first time since September 2024, a month that included a labor market scare and deadly hurricanes. Perceptions of employment conditions edged lower as the labor market differential -- the share of consumers saying jobs are ‘plentiful’ minus the share saying jobs are ‘hard to get’ -- continued to flag. Two of the three Expectations Index components dipped in December. November’s nosedive in expectations for business conditions six months from now mostly reversed in December but remained negative. Expectations for labor market conditions were gloomier, and the outlook for household incomes was less positive.
Among demographic groups, on a six-month moving average basis, confidence dipped among all age groups in December, although consumers under 35 continued to be more confident than consumers age 35 and older. There were few generational differences, as confidence among all generations trended downward in the month, with only the Silent Generation becoming more hopeful. Millennials and Gen Z remained the most optimistic of all generations surveyed. By income, confidence on a six-month moving average basis fell for nearly all brackets, except for those earning less than $15K and more than $125K. Still, consumers earning less than $15K remained the least optimistic among all income groups. Confidence continued to fall in December among all political affiliations (Democrats, Republicans, and Independents).
Peterson added: 'Consumers’ write-in responses on factors affecting the economy continued to be led by references to prices and income, tariffs and trade, and politics. However, December saw increases in mentions of immigration, war, and topics related to personal finances -- including interest rates, taxes and income, banks, and insurance. The responses continued to skew pessimistic but less so than November, potentially due to fewer negative comments about prices and inflation, politics, as well as a rebound in positive responses about interest rates. Notably, the Federal Reserve Board cut monetary policy rates on December 10 for a third time in 2025, which landed in the second half of the survey sample interval.'
Nonetheless, the share of consumers expecting interest rates to rise were on net higher, with a drop in the proportion expecting lower rates. Consumers’ median and average 12-month inflation expectations both retreated in December after an uptick in November. The balance of consumers’ expectations for stock prices twelve months from now -- higher minus lower -- was the most positive since January 2025..."
Every month, The Conference Board sends a questionnaire to 5,000 U.S.
households. Survey participants are polled about their feelings
regarding the U.S. economy, current and future, and about their own
fiscal circumstances. On average, 3,500 participants complete and return
the 5-question survey.
- The baseline "100" score for the CCI is associated with 1985 survey data.
When consumers feel good about the economy, they tend to do more spending, and vice versa.
Based in New York City, The Conference Board® is a private,
not-for-profit organization with a mission to, "create and disseminate
knowledge about management and the marketplace to help businesses
strengthen their performance and better serve society."
The CCI is usually released on the last Tuesday of the month.
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posted by Steve Brown | 12/24/2025 03:41:00 PM
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